Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23e29ac6d6ac50f13579097431e22e3707affd6857987071f42e1cd326fc11c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Level UPof Level UP, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PuckChamp | 26c | 2,500$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.88 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PuckChamp | 13c | 1,341$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.54 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…bd22backed Level UP | 77c | 1,124$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.53 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PuckChamp | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked PuckChamp | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Level UP | 72c | 487.27$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Level UP | 73c | 379.23$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 76c | 371.95$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Level UP | 70c | 326.34$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed PuckChamp | 28c | 221.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PuckChamp | 18c | 217.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Level UP | 74c | 212.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Level UP | 71c | 198.91$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6e…445abacked PuckChamp | 26c | 190$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked PuckChamp | 13c | 189.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp | 22c | 172$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Level UP | 72c | 149.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Level UP | 73c | 143.79$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed PuckChamp | 24c | 126.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed PuckChamp | 30c | 123.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Level UP | 72c | 122.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Level UP | 73c | 119.72$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Level UP | 71c | 119.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…21e3backed Level UP | 73c | 115.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked PuckChamp | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked PuckChamp | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Level UP | 73c | 98.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Level UP | 73c | 96.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Level UP | 73c | 96.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Level UP | 69c | 93.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…b333backed PuckChamp | 12c | 92.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked PuckChamp | 26c | 81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Level UP | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed PuckChamp | 28c | 77.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…78f3backed PuckChamp | 13c | 76.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PuckChamp | 28c | 76.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked PuckChamp | 28c | 74.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Level UP | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Level UP | 72c | 66.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Level UP | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Level UP | 73c | 61.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Level UP | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Level UP | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc262…6587backed PuckChamp | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp | 27c | 48.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed Level UP | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Level UP | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Level UP | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked PuckChamp | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e5…2300backed Level UP | 78c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Level UP | 79c | 31.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Level UP | 71c | 23.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…7069backed Level UP | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Level UP | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Level UP | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Level UP | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…5d02backed Level UP | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 74cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…c134backed Level UP | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked Level UP | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…b81fbacked Level UP | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Level UP | 72c | 15.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Level UP | 74c | 14.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerLevel UP won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.