TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d78…29a5backed Over45c21,813$9,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,736.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over58c16,678$9,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,624.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under42c16,458$6,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,524.7312039.2%47 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c13,389$7,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,956.371,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under54c12,681$6,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,827.7170435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over59c7,949$4,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,672.254355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over57c6,372$3,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,619.112736.2%46 W · 81 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over57c6,018$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4305843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under46c4,138$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.631163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c3,547$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.481,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over15c2,868$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41937753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over45c2,736$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.1216440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Under43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.996952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over29c2,236$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.8988137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c2,048$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.3799435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over55c2,016$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.952737%10 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1202661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under44c1,889$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.675750.9%29 W · 28 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under44c1,719$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.46825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under57c1,452$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.2939443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over40c1,359$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.752326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under48c1,255$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over22c1,146$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6959136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9440250.7%204 W · 198 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over55c1,111$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.8460648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c940.99$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.9541553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over57c897.38$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.3525729.6%76 W · 181 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over57c816.96$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.672437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under56c716.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6210743.9%47 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under61c658.93$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.933243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under55c618.94$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.3730856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under55c613.2$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.3917058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb93…e1d3backed Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under44c500$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2785757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over32c500$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1595538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under45c490.02$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.513956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over32c483.74$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2916741.9%70 W · 97 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under58c454.31$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.5312551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over24c447.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.343333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over5c438.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…cb64backed Over57c400$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under44c390.94$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.936761.2%41 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.334454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Over58c333.33$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over29c333$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5724245.9%111 W · 131 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under57c329.22$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3615354.2%83 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under57c322.21$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.414353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227e…2342backed Over57c313.46$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under75c306.67$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.675042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Over15c286$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-62.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over57c279$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0320241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under51c271.95$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3923352.8%123 W · 110 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over55c268$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9552046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe12…728fbacked Over40c252.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under71c235.4$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6242647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over22c234.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.318144.4%36 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over53c227.41$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.959946.5%46 W · 53 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over57c224.15$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7731342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d13…cd85backed Under47c210.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+40.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under45c209.72$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.026259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1425…3bc8backed Under44c200.48$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.272352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under47c192.56$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.999659.4%57 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over56c190.18$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Over20c188.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.993852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0962…6e40backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under78c182$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.049246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011440.4%46 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d39…ba51backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x907f…27dabacked Over57c174.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over20c168.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.08229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Over58c166.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Over58c166.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Over58c166.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe62f…fca5backed Under54c166$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under53c151.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.476734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Under47c142$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.261963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over47c139.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2920916.7%35 W · 174 L-36.8wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-69.7%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x9ac6…db45backed Over61c131.89$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Over58c129.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over55c127.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.866544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Over58c125$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5181…504bbacked Under49c121.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under56c117.71$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.914052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over57c110.61$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5487531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over46c106.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8727450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f9…12a6backed Under38c105$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+64.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Over59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over52c99.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.992437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under55c98.45$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.638250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e89…85fbbacked Under57c96.35$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under56c89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4412044.2%53 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under46c88.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.116357.1%36 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over57c88.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.03837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over57c87.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+57%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.