Champions League · resolved market
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa514305f6e06527511619e4a16246cabdd7b112feafa096be7f492d323a8eb21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 56c | 4,457$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.55 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 49c | 3,746$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.02 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 44c | 1,555$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.86 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 1,189$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.43 | 344 | 45.1%155 W · 189 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 44c | 682.65$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.98 | 328 | 47.9%157 W · 171 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 615.22$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.83 | 369 | 42.5%157 W · 212 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 453$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 38c | 432.31$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.61 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed No | 43c | 351$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 39c | 346.93$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.73 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 47c | 299.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 58c | 260.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 252.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.82 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 29c | 243.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.49 | 389 | 53.7%209 W · 180 L | +21.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 57c | 224.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 75c | 221.02$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…e2eabacked No | 54c | 216.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 68c | 202.11$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.94 | 1,071 | 34.8%373 W · 698 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed No | 43c | 165.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked Yes | 69c | 145.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 77c | 128.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 67c | 94.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 60c | 94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 52c | 93.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 277 | 50.2%139 W · 138 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 73c | 87.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 76c | 86.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 43c | 66.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 51c | 56.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 51c | 55.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 269 | 31.6%85 W · 184 L | -22.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…267fbacked Yes | 54c | 55.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 43c | 53.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 214 | 16.8%36 W · 178 L | -38.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 30c | 49.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 54c | 46.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 25c | 44.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 40c | 44.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed Yes | 56c | 43.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 44c | 39.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 36c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 247 | 52.2%129 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed No | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 42c | 37.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 61c | 35.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 41c | 35.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…672cbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 38c | 33.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 36c | 33.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 54c | 31.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -14.8wins | -0.38per pick | 40cpaid | -94.9%equal weight | 24-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…e41bbacked Yes | 41c | 31.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 63c | 28.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c17…2c8bbacked Yes | 55c | 24.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 51c | 23.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 43c | 23.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Yes | 70c | 21.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 76c | 15.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 0.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 3.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 4.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)FK Crvena zvezda won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-2.5)FK Crvena zvezda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.