TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,537 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c2,526$1,380 inLost-$1,379.541,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Over47c1,632$767 inWon+$865.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c1,115$439 inWon+$675.421,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost-$101520%3 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under3c829.45$25 inLost-$24.922630.8%8 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+98.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bfe…7274backed Over63c161.9$103 inWon+$59.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under57c134.54$77 inLost-$77.0112551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under56c118.09$66 inLost-$66.4110743.9%47 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under56c116.47$66 inLost-$65.6817058.8%100 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under56c107.78$60 inLost-$60.1430856.8%175 W · 133 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over41c105.67$43 inWon+$62.6323031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Over69c99.99$69 inWon+$311866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under58c81.32$47 inLost-$47.1115954.7%87 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over66c76.21$50 inWon+$26.2111464.9%74 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c62$19 inLost-$19.2291537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under60c61$37 inLost-$36.6524252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over65c60$39 inWon+$2110049%49 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under59c46.9$28 inLost-$27.596734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under60c45.1$27 inLost-$27.1214353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under27c41.1$11 inLost-$11.129949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Over42c30.59$13 inWon+$17.618250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c30.41$16 inLost-$16.111,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under52c30.21$16 inLost-$15.711172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under39c30.1$12 inLost-$11.746259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over74c20.26$15 inWon+$5.261855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.