TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
MH Hapoel Be'er Shevaof FK Crvena zvezda, MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,008 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 6 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed FK Crvena zvezda15c3,376$519 inLost-$518.8170435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed FK Crvena zvezda15c379.4$57 inLost-$56.9199435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed FK Crvena zvezda17c303.65$52 inLost-$51.623823.7%9 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked FK Crvena zvezda14c194$27 inLost-$27.112736.2%46 W · 81 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed FK Crvena zvezda16c165.88$26 inLost-$25.881797.8%14 W · 165 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f97…13d2backed FK Crvena zvezda16c62.5$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.