Champions League · resolved market
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc4a90fc95ab0d6e6fb3bc4f74da48c75ca03c788b1bcfee7badd79ea073ccd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MH Hapoel Be'er Shevaof FK Crvena zvezda, MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FK Crvena zvezda | 31c | 5,228$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.89 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 71c | 3,069$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.12 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FK Crvena zvezda | 26c | 1,996$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.65 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked FK Crvena zvezda | 30c | 1,912$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.8 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 72c | 1,672$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.76 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FK Crvena zvezda | 34c | 1,108$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.64 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 69c | 1,075$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.33 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 66c | 708$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 67c | 665.19$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.19 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 71c | 575.28$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 426 | 47.9%204 W · 222 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FK Crvena zvezda | 26c | 509.12$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 66c | 501.71$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.6 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 70c | 351.7$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 67c | 351.34$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FK Crvena zvezda | 26c | 346.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FK Crvena zvezda | 25c | 340.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FK Crvena zvezda | 34c | 336$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 69c | 285.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed FK Crvena zvezda | 35c | 242.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed FK Crvena zvezda | 35c | 206.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked FK Crvena zvezda | 7c | 179$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed FK Crvena zvezda | 34c | 154.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 66c | 150.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FK Crvena zvezda | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked FK Crvena zvezda | 26c | 136.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 70c | 122.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…6eb8backed FK Crvena zvezda | 34c | 114.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 65c | 99.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed FK Crvena zvezda | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FK Crvena zvezda | 34c | 76.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 257 | 29.6%76 W · 181 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 66c | 76.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 71c | 76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 66c | 73.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 66c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed FK Crvena zvezda | 31c | 61.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 69c | 61.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 66c | 60.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed FK Crvena zvezda | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed FK Crvena zvezda | 35c | 58.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed FK Crvena zvezda | 35c | 55.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed FK Crvena zvezda | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed FK Crvena zvezda | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed FK Crvena zvezda | 32c | 44.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed FK Crvena zvezda | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9133…20acbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 66c | 33.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 67c | 33.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…8c56backed FK Crvena zvezda | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 79c | 15.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)this page
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 0.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: FK Crvena zvezda O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 0.5Over won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 3.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 4.5Under won
- MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)FK Crvena zvezda won
- Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-2.5)FK Crvena zvezda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.