South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fbb6a0c29be4b8c9adcded1e4d34f7a7f140336218899c10dc5a2ae16d19006
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 7c | 39,309$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.99 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 7c | 29,614$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.61 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 20c | 22,552$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,581.13 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 10c | 19,896$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.42 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 13c | 17,896$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.21 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 11c | 13,625$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.13 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked No | 12c | 12,116$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…9548backed No | 0c | 11,830$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 35c | 8,245$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 20c | 7,978$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.4 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 63c | 7,500$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.96 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 8c | 5,409$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…150cbacked No | 0c | 5,238$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 10c | 4,262$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.42 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 37c | 3,529$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.69 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 36c | 2,699$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.09 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba1…6aefbacked Yes | 76c | 2,585$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.42 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 11c | 2,526$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.09 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 7c | 2,394$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 25c | 2,349$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.45 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 65c | 2,328$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.77 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 7c | 2,304$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 16c | 2,139$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.96 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…668ebacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 20c | 1,830$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.64 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 11c | 1,820$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.78 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.84 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 20c | 1,583$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…ef6cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…3fa1backed Yes | 70c | 1,426$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.15 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed No | 48c | 1,397$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.95 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 11c | 1,390$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,373$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.38 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed No | 5c | 1,284$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 7c | 1,199$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 76c | 1,176$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.77 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 65c | 1,146$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.51 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 24c | 1,138$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.64 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed No | 9c | 1,132$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 36c | 1,104$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.37 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 61c | 1,058$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.15 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 16c | 907.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 23c | 862.62$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 14c | 847.37$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 73c | 842.23$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.06 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 11c | 780$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed No | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 16c | 765.9$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 17c | 739.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 37c | 674.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573a…dcbfbacked No | 2c | 667$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked Yes | 66c | 627.85$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.47 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 14c | 613.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 36c | 596.68$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.83 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes | 78c | 592.13$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed Yes | 77c | 533.91$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.58 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 68c | 529.62$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked No | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed No | 34c | 494.52$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6600…d5fdbacked Yes | 66c | 455$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 446.01$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 10c | 430$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 25c | 421.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked No | 12c | 408.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…6da7backed Yes | 66c | 397.64$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…63b8backed No | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 36c | 372.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 62c | 366.4$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.18 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 8c | 365.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…3ababacked Yes | 77c | 364.24$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes | 56c | 355.23$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Yes | 54c | 343.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Yes | 56c | 335.89$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 10c | 328.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…7c28backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 65c | 313.62$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.77 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Yes | 56c | 309.43$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 8c | 305$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 13c | 304.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Yes | 56c | 304.34$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Yes | 56c | 300.27$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 62c | 298.5$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Yes | 54c | 295.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 11c | 291.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 35c | 289.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Yes | 56c | 283.83$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed No | 10c | 270.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 10c | 258.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 9c | 258.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 65c | 253.72$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 33c | 247$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 10c | 239.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Yes | 62c | 237$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.06 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-02?No won
- Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.