TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Over41c188,308$77,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,897.15650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0e…2ee5backed Under58c99,940$57,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,974.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c33,994$20,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,408.288,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c30,388$18,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,197.815,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd104…acefbacked Over43c19,999$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,599.7750%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under64c14,839$9,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,276.332,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c6,904$4,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,718.971,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under58c6,528$3,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.7442962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c3,627$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.231,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked Under75c3,315$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.161675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under59c2,335$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.1646449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under60c2,000$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over29c1,525$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.9175240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under58c1,046$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.9372058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under59c1,015$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3564633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under62c877$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.251,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under62c877$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.251,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under62c877$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.252,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under59c760.45$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.5257540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over19c664.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.852,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Over42c620$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.41963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24651750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over22c548.65$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.351,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Under59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.474362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed Under60c444$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under58c426.67$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1115651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under58c376.27$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.719054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under60c368$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5630754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under58c360$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.225345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Over42c359.98$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.194257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under59c324.13$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8913856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under67c307.85$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4555250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under58c307.78$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7526465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under60c288$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.219559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under62c264.8$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7263061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Over40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c243$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.778551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Over43c229.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.92050%10 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under60c211.32$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5327855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c0…ca02backed Under60c190.55$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.05887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under61c179.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0418247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under59c179.4$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1540451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under58c169.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5119164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under58c164.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8478756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under60c154$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.372,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under59c128.9$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8528665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over42c119.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x35f9…12a6backed Under60c104.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+52.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Under59c103.39$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.394461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under58c94.17$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.333365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under58c91.72$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2929653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over40c89.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf247…59f9backed Over42c83.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under60c83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.170055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under60c72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2713…43b2backed Over43c65.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked Over43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Under61c59.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6110935.8%39 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under61c54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0612757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7790…427abacked Under59c52.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c50.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.891,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc972…98b6backed Over42c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.531560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Over42c46.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.382479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Under59c46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.864667.4%31 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over42c45.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.094362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Over42c45.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over42c35.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.969860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…a11bbacked Over39c35.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under59c33.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9333266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc53c…406bbacked Under59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98100%8 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under57c30.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.993256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over43c29.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8214359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Under59c27.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.294757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under59c23.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.611861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf9…1f3bbacked Under62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under59c18.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6811858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under61c18.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0327549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Under61c18.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0327349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4f…5ec9backed Under59c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.971442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.