South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa438566e06797d3c1b46b0a1a98979e85df7cf60619c51b4f9c8a01b8c55e07a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Over | 67c | 9,648$6,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,507.48 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 8,726$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.45 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 32c | 3,887$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.15 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 31c | 2,996$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.61 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 1,072$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.21 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 932.16$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 45c | 645$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 554.96$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.75 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 34c | 347.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.47 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 48c | 309.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 69c | 285.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 69c | 279.72$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.16 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 255.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.83 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 70c | 211.89$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 53c | 188.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 49c | 178.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Over | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…473ebacked Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 32c | 137$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 61c | 130.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 34c | 106.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 32c | 86.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 32c | 80.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 39c | 78.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 54c | 76.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 68c | 75.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 32c | 73.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 32c | 69.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 32c | 69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 32c | 54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Over | 67c | 51.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 47c | 43.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 40c | 37.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 37c | 35.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 32c | 34.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 32c | 34.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 63c | 32.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 33c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 52c | 25.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…901bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tucumán (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)CA Tucumán won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)CA Tucumán won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.