Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e4baae3a5e703ff29b458c168736bcf2144c5d19e71cae23442402670afa228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 7,385$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 9c | 2,744$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.3 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 2,580$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.65 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 68c | 1,786$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.68 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 73c | 1,377$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.59 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 5c | 645.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 70c | 430.76$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 426.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 59c | 304.91$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 279.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 7c | 217.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 13c | 212.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 203.02$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Yes | 51c | 189.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 26c | 185.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.01 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 72c | 172$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 36c | 126.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 17c | 107.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 43c | 100.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 20c | 96.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 43c | 93.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 75c | 66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 33c | 60.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 51c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…e755backed No | 51c | 42.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 43c | 40.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked No | 72c | 25.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…83dbbacked Yes | 76c | 24.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 50c | 24.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 70c | 22.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 52c | 20.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 61c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 69c | 18.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 57c | 18.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed No | 74c | 18.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 72c | 18.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Yes | 67c | 16.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?this page
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-01?No won
- Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.