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Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No67c4,218$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.485,65542%2,376 W · 3,279 L+75.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8504…88dcbacked Yes54c3,708$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No41c3,449$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.862,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes57c2,074$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.7495744%421 W · 536 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No45c1,773$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.054953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes59c1,729$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.6194543.1%407 W · 538 L-4.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c1,564$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.527,96645.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L+9.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes59c1,335$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.222,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No38c999.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.995135.3%18 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+52.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes8c999.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802236.4%8 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes62c988.7$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.9919365.3%126 W · 67 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No47c819.76$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4710770.1%75 W · 32 L+19.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+38.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes55c572$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.629052.4%152 W · 138 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed No46c433.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.314264.3%27 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+283.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c361.08$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.881,13950.8%579 W · 560 L+27.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes58c334.79$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.382330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No73c333.3$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.946464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610028%28 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6734358.9%202 W · 141 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed No75c254.67$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.673030%9 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes22c226.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.45922%13 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No46c225.94$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1821953.9%118 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes26c225.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed No74c222.65$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.893060%18 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes53c216.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes18c195.23$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3624147.3%114 W · 127 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No46c192.3$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.778969.7%62 W · 27 L+13.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004461.4%27 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x083e…d9e7backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No66c166.73$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5237263.2%235 W · 137 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c144.44$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.751,00153.3%534 W · 467 L+23.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Yes28c142.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes55c127.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0164143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No74c119.97$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1929145.4%132 W · 159 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c112.41$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.252,13247.9%1,022 W · 1,110 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No46c108.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6825653.1%136 W · 120 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes22c103.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0918959.3%112 W · 77 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299241.3%38 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535154.7%192 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.518849.5%93 W · 95 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes62c95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.224747%116 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0796…8264backed Yes74c89.19$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661850%9 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4107…aad5backed Yes13c83.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No45c83.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.757237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked No46c75.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.348124.7%20 W · 61 L-10.8wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed No75c75.16$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.791866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010155.4%56 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes57c70.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8567348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb76c…924dbacked Yes26c68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.673655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes63c65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.957859%46 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No52c62.19$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1548226.8%129 W · 353 L-32.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7fa…65eabacked Yes66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes26c59.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5310544.8%47 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5495…fc8cbacked Yes74c59.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes34c58.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.961560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes41c58.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.072065%13 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes78c57.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0614362.9%90 W · 53 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No74c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.32,58852.1%1,348 W · 1,240 L+10.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes53c52.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.65933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.517745.2%80 W · 97 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218852.7%99 W · 89 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes25c46.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7216248.1%78 W · 84 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873d…f7a9backed Yes54c46.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2526…9f68backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Yes26c39.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2610236.3%37 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked No51c38.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.883259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c60…2fa3backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Yes55c36.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7113864.5%89 W · 49 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No47c34.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4510958.7%64 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.335151%26 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bde…52cabacked No75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.337251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f52…ce1bbacked No47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.915100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202751.9%14 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff77…1be5backed No46c30.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No42c30.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4958320.1%117 W · 466 L-37.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes56c29.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7916551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe67…f7e7backed Yes56c29.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed No66c29.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.026445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa233…dfe8backed No42c26.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.264551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes54c25.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432835.4%116 W · 212 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No47c21.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.522763%17 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1742…f616backed Yes54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No74c19.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9927352.7%144 W · 129 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ff…d70dbacked Yes57c18.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No63c18.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.855054%27 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes79c18.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.419156.5%108 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9752…57a9backed No74c15.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.