Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dbe074d55e160df51580167b3e45a1363006358bef77c938c59ab59972bd98a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03fd…0ca5backed Yes | 0c | 7,006$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 2,086$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…47c3backed Yes | 77c | 1,130$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 857.78$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.91 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 749.42$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.89 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 645.96$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 19c | 626$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 53c | 485.89$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.03 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 463.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 26c | 385.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 342.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 60c | 338.76$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…02fcbacked No | 72c | 256.96$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 26c | 252.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 15c | 199.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 172.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 60c | 166$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 62c | 163.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 71c | 157.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…8d54backed Yes | 15c | 151.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 8c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 149.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 40c | 132.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 74c | 129.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 70c | 120.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 119.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 59c | 103$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 15c | 97.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 36c | 97.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 22c | 95.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Yes | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 28c | 83.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…65eabacked Yes | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 75.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…6bbabacked Yes | 28c | 73.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d010backed Yes | 28c | 71.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 60c | 61.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 25c | 59.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 29c | 58.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 29c | 58.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 79c | 56.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 56.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 26c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6765…9785backed Yes | 27c | 44.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…5473backed Yes | 29c | 37.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 79c | 35.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 76c | 21.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…11bcbacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…ce1bbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 70c | 18.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 72c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed No | 76c | 14.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?this page
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-20?No won
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.