Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Satan666 vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ea8f7f06861ec63d906f644ebfa883c418f0a5654857d4145ae52b89828e4b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivoryof Satan666, Ivory
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Satan666 | 4c | 2,800$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Satan666 | 3c | 1,600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Satan666 | 3c | 1,400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Satan666 | 2c | 1,260$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Satan666 | 22c | 1,172$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.86 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Ivory | 78c | 1,161$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.38 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Satan666 | 2c | 1,150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Satan666 | 38c | 1,077$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.43 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Satan666 | 3c | 1,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Satan666 | 3c | 1,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Satan666 | 3c | 1,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Satan666 | 3c | 1,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Satan666 | 3c | 1,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Satan666 | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Satan666 | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Satan666 | 29c | 581$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce6…6069backed Satan666 | 10c | 560.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Satan666 | 3c | 450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Satan666 | 20c | 441.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Satan666 | 3c | 440$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Satan666 | 30c | 404.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Satan666 | 3c | 375$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Ivory | 18c | 374.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.16 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Satan666 | 27c | 315$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Ivory | 52c | 309.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.05 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Satan666 | 22c | 300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Ivory | 64c | 291.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Ivory | 61c | 288.33$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Satan666 | 46c | 288.18$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…9c7bbacked Satan666 | 17c | 278.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Satan666 | 8c | 258$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ivory | 56c | 251.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Satan666 | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…19eebacked Satan666 | 58c | 234.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Ivory | 68c | 231.79$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…5777backed Ivory | 68c | 223.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Satan666 | 50c | 207.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Satan666 | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Satan666 | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Satan666 | 57c | 198.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Satan666 | 51c | 186.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Satan666 | 28c | 186$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed Ivory | 56c | 180.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Ivory | 58c | 179.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Ivory | 69c | 174.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Satan666 | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Satan666 | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…ebe4backed Satan666 | 14c | 133.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ivory | 60c | 129.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Satan666 | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Satan666 | 22c | 120.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Satan666 | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Ivory | 67c | 117.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Satan666 | 47c | 114.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked Ivory | 80c | 111.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…8815backed Ivory | 63c | 108.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Satan666 | 22c | 100.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Satan666 | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Satan666 | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Satan666 | 48c | 93.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Ivory | 80c | 82.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Ivory | 46c | 79.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Satan666 | 45c | 76.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Satan666 | 71c | 69.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af4…e516backed Ivory | 78c | 63.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed Ivory | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Ivory | 50c | 58.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Ivory | 44c | 57.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Ivory | 62c | 53.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Satan666 | 53c | 52.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Satan666 | 27c | 52.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Ivory | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 545 | 48.4%264 W · 281 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…cbe0backed Ivory | 67c | 51.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Satan666 | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…0fa8backed Ivory | 46c | 46.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Satan666 | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Ivory | 77c | 42.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Satan666 | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Ivory | 38c | 39.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ivory | 62c | 37.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Satan666 | 38c | 37.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…d9e7backed Ivory | 69c | 36.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ivory | 58c | 29.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…ebcabacked Satan666 | 59c | 29.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…4fa1backed Satan666 | 40c | 29.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…7d85backed Satan666 | 60c | 27.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Satan666 | 72c | 25.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Ivory | 70c | 19.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…67eabacked Ivory | 57c | 18.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Satan666 vs Ivory (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Satan666 vs Ivory - Game 2 WinnerSatan666 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.