Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC København win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc190aa015eee2623c01d5259cbfa8bc6c3f1869858739a2819cc3abc3ceea2bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…9885backed Yes | 53c | 28,045$14,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,987.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 15,732$7,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,322.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 46c | 3,657$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.73 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 49c | 2,781$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.43 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed No | 46c | 1,815$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 1,785$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.26 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 1,458$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.37 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 46c | 1,065$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.44 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 52c | 959.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 61c | 708.7$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.21 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 44c | 587.5$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 48c | 436.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 46c | 407.28$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.15 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 46c | 367.39$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.32 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 51c | 331.3$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.07 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 46c | 292$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e8…131cbacked Yes | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked No | 46c | 219.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…d9e7backed Yes | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 65c | 190.21$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed No | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed Yes | 54c | 126.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5417backed Yes | 55c | 115$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 37c | 103.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Yes | 30c | 101.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 101.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 63c | 99.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 53c | 91.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 38c | 86.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 72.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 37c | 71.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e3cabacked Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +85%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 47c | 66.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae6…269dbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 49c | 58.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 37c | 54.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 51c | 53.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 63c | 47.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 53c | 47.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…a1bfbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 62c | 39.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…8754backed No | 49c | 36.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 36c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 49c | 30.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 63c | 24.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 63c | 24.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b31…ca0dbacked Yes | 52c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will FC Fredericia vs. FC København end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.