Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Fredericia vs. FC København end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb36ffe889937460cce7a98ce0c5518c111f369d48ba8a29817df6c1b6eb0a30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Yes | 55c | 1,650$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Yes | 69c | 456.95$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 42c | 451.87$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.97 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 44c | 292.62$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.15 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 62c | 219.68$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 35c | 217.62$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 201.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 78c | 175.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 48c | 136.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 29c | 131.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 123$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 67c | 100.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 41c | 95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55c7…f584backed Yes | 53c | 78.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 74.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 66c | 58.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 29c | 46.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 29c | 45.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 56c | 44.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Yes | 50c | 40.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…aadfbacked Yes | 61c | 32.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 30.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 52c | 30.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 39c | 25.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 66c | 17.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Fredericia vs. FC København end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will FC København win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.