WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Fire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x634395815c76e795e93d9a208d9d93ca2e1324f28e184b318f4868261446c5e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland Fireof Connecticut Sun, Portland Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Connecticut Sun | 58c | 14,691$8,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,489.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Portland Fire | 61c | 10,388$6,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.4 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…c9e7backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 10,012$5,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,255.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc55…dd71backed Portland Fire | 48c | 10,012$4,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Connecticut Sun | 39c | 9,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Connecticut Sun | 1c | 8,240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Connecticut Sun | 2c | 5,559$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Portland Fire | 47c | 3,747$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 57c | 3,457$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.54 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Portland Fire | 46c | 3,417$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.92 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Portland Fire | 43c | 2,266$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Portland Fire | 56c | 2,100$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.99 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Portland Fire | 49c | 2,083$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 1,949$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.76 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Connecticut Sun | 41c | 1,734$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.63 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Portland Fire | 63c | 1,575$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.88 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun | 58c | 1,538$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.73 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Portland Fire | 45c | 1,394$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.99 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Connecticut Sun | 72c | 1,384$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 1,318$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Connecticut Sun | 28c | 1,205$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.86 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Portland Fire | 58c | 1,111$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.75 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Connecticut Sun | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Portland Fire | 53c | 999.99$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.77 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun | 57c | 984.78$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.32 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Portland Fire | 51c | 980.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 945.78$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.21 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 892.73$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.98 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Portland Fire | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 837.4$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.28 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Portland Fire | 66c | 818.06$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.89 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Portland Fire | 53c | 803.65$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.77 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Connecticut Sun | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Connecticut Sun | 17c | 765$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Portland Fire | 46c | 750.65$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.63 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Connecticut Sun | 39c | 750$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Portland Fire | 54c | 749.58$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.39 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 729.1$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.09 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…7c0abacked Connecticut Sun | 54c | 673.5$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 608.57$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Connecticut Sun | 57c | 607.51$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.07 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Portland Fire | 53c | 603.53$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.44 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 38c | 544.86$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.73 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Portland Fire | 37c | 534.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.42 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Portland Fire | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Portland Fire | 62c | 481.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…37b0backed Connecticut Sun | 43c | 481.21$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 460.08$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Portland Fire | 47c | 425.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.51 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Connecticut Sun | 63c | 404.77$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Portland Fire | 60c | 404.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Portland Fire | 52c | 385.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Connecticut Sun | 22c | 364.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Connecticut Sun | 57c | 363.04$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Connecticut Sun | 57c | 356.44$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 343.67$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Portland Fire | 62c | 330.56$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Connecticut Sun | 59c | 321.1$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Portland Fire | 33c | 300.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Connecticut Sun | 36c | 300$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Portland Fire | 32c | 299.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.08 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Portland Fire | 45c | 298.31$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…1856backed Portland Fire | 59c | 274.44$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Connecticut Sun | 72c | 270$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Connecticut Sun | 27c | 262.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b16…7983backed Portland Fire | 43c | 250.44$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Portland Fire | 75c | 246.43$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Connecticut Sun | 41c | 245.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…0b63backed Portland Fire | 49c | 221.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Portland Fire | 50c | 221.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Connecticut Sun | 61c | 212.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.62 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Portland Fire | 34c | 209.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Portland Fire | 37c | 202.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Connecticut Sun | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Portland Fire | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Connecticut Sun | 73c | 199$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Portland Fire | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Connecticut Sun | 62c | 188.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 185.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 184.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 177.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed Connecticut Sun | 57c | 176.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Portland Fire | 44c | 161.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 192 | 31.8%61 W · 131 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Connecticut Sun | 36c | 160.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…7e00backed Portland Fire | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…44f2backed Portland Fire | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Portland Fire | 44c | 154.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…f402backed Connecticut Sun | 67c | 148.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed Portland Fire | 63c | 148.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…d9e7backed Portland Fire | 51c | 147.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Portland Fire | 52c | 138.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a4…c6a9backed Connecticut Sun | 71c | 138.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Portland Fire | 51c | 129.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Connecticut Sun | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…f21ebacked Portland Fire | 30c | 128$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Portland Fire | 56c | 124.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Portland Fire | 37c | 118.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 105.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 136 | 22.8%31 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Firethis page
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.