WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99c177ec84e2a1b3a6fc0620463523daf61c0f0ea1169b71c9d6dea41434ed24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 50c | 8,839$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.42 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 53c | 6,884$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.52 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 6,317$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.89 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Over | 48c | 5,920$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 47c | 2,755$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.85 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 2,506$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.08 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 1,595$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.59 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…d511backed Over | 47c | 1,521$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 852$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Over | 47c | 479.25$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 46c | 440.03$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.42 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 4c | 365$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 280.23$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 54c | 273.13$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.64 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 55c | 270$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 46c | 260$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Under | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 44c | 227.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 60c | 222.87$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 202.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 50c | 183$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 47c | 137.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 14c | 107.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 57c | 101.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Over | 47c | 92.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 50c | 88.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 36c | 86.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 68c | 78.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 50c | 75.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 56c | 55.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 57c | 45.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over | 57c | 44.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Under | 40c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Over | 50c | 39.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Over | 50c | 39.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 36.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 36.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…e307backed Over | 34c | 35.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 51c | 28.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Over | 50c | 23.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Over | 50c | 22.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Portland FirePortland Fire won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.