WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02fe14ecaf1d9bc957a1a912d38badf99666eebd5b64ab179d48e8144b680977
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 56c | 3,214$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.29 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 1,554$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.9 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Over | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 56c | 192$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…e307backed Under | 80c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…29b9backed Under | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Portland FirePortland Fire won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 172.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: PortlandFire (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.