CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f0458d067f027c9db16fa30d80a8de36f30128fd93934a6747eacde299062ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Walczaki, Tricked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a6…2d2dbacked Tricked | 64c | 6,928$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Walczaki | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Walczaki | 36c | 2,582$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Tricked | 80c | 1,314$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.76 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Walczaki | 38c | 684.89$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.26 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed Walczaki | 10c | 676.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 22c | 485.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Walczaki | 30c | 470$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Walczaki | 43c | 446.14$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.99 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked | 74c | 402.69$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Walczaki | 17c | 400$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Walczaki | 30c | 343.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Walczaki | 13c | 267.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Walczaki | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 27c | 221.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Walczaki | 34c | 220.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Tricked | 62c | 209.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 543 | 43.5%236 W · 307 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked Tricked | 62c | 201.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Walczaki | 34c | 178.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 35c | 165.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 36c | 148.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Walczaki | 17c | 141.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki | 61c | 105.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Walczaki | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…a2dfbacked Tricked | 58c | 82.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Walczaki | 34c | 80.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 308 | 41.6%128 W · 180 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tricked | 38c | 74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Walczaki | 27c | 71.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Tricked | 42c | 68.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…d9e7backed Tricked | 77c | 65.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Tricked | 74c | 59.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tricked | 70c | 57.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Walczaki | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 264 | 48.1%127 W · 137 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Tricked | 45c | 39.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 944 | 45.7%431 W · 513 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Walczaki | 63c | 39.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Tricked | 43c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Tricked | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Tricked | 79c | 14.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 845 | 54.4%460 W · 385 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsTricked won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.