Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e105e834cab6f0b47157f7bc71a97031705caef52a89ae23c4c665ba291d7b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Xtreme Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 76,560$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 19,551$9,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,922.82 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 14,747$7,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,513 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 10,929$5,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,348.67 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 10,298$5,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,094.97 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 9,721$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.98 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 8,257$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.7 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 6,888$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.42 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 5,400$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.73 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 4,867$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.96 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 4,564$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.06 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 3,750$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.5 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 3,735$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.48 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 3,250$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.15 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 3,200$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.9 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,975$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.6 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,876$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.97 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,859$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.27 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,481$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.57 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,454$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.37 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 2,441$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.21 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 2,380$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,299$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.42 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,263$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.66 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,189$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.16 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,050$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 2,000$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.4 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.5 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,704$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.73 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,619$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.55 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,595$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.29 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,462$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,330$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.59 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,300$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.11 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,276$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.16 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,271$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.56 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,250$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,250$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.49 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,212$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.52 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 1,212$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.63 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.99 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,190$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.2 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,184$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.56 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,162$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.32 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,139$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.47 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,100$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.5 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,020$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Xtreme Gaming | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…3b0dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 859.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 850.61$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.21 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 837.96$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.36 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 790$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 729.61$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.69 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 717.99$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.46 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 683.6$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.6 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 642.97$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.7 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 638.33$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.43 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 611.51$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.75 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 567.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.86 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 560.52$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.13 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 542.28$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.28 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 541.47$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.47 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 478.75$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4ca5backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 474.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…a3b5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 473.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.58 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 440$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 434.24$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.24 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 427.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 402.12$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.08 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…e5bcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 382.76$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 347$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.38 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 337$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec6…3b01backed Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 335.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 292.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 290$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 290$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 286.6$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 273.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 269.82$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 261.01$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.