Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfc727d3f168a595a88e729198196c7d026b9c2020250c182c61f3fddb57ceb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Xtreme Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $260,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 87,939$34,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,500 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 32,973$16,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,486.58 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 19,731$11,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,617.31 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 18,600$10,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,042.86 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 15,967$11,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.33 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 14,745$7,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,225 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 13,906$6,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,953.09 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 13,214$6,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,474.71 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 4,208$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.04 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 3,688$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.91 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7128…75a2backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 3,466$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 3,303$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.97 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,087$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.83 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 3,004$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.08 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,789$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.13 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,699$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.02 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 2,673$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.92 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,543$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.3 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 2,466$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.13 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,443$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.44 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,357$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.62 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,250$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,021$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.08 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,993$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,934$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.33 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,656$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.33 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 1,601$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.67 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,585$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.07 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…be7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 1,314$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,304$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.36 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,154$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.54 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 1,141$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.89 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2744…7e85backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,129$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.72 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,079$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.09 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,045$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,023$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.63 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d4…a59fbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,000$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…953bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 997.57$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.57 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 985.13$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.57 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 984.35$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.35 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 978$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.84 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 962.71$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.73 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 953.73$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.16 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…8d10backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 899.98$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.49 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 823.78$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.65 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 785.6$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.82 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 777.75$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.16 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 752.54$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.76 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 738.02$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.84 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 701$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.54 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 682.76$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.13 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 668.74$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.62 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 666.67$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 625.39$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.3 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 614.53$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.07 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 606.94$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.47 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 587.98$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…4cfbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 582.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 569.59$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.88 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 553$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…ce42backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 549$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 543.77$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8d…80c8backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 534$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.41 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6f…12c9backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 530.58$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 524.46$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.99 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 510.64$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 28c | 473.87$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 460.38$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.37 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 443.26$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.46 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Xtreme Gaming | 19c | 440.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…1ee4backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 424.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 399.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 385.51$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.67 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 368.76$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.13 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed77…bde0backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 361.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 360.47$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.24 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 359.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 318.09$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 317.4$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 298.52$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.52 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 294.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.12 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…a3b5backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 289.95$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.