Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadc852c219b2149032a13fa920678d28866451cf715da356bfa6f4b1dee9b615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Xtreme Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $448,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $579,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 80,658$37,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,815.55 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 75,670$40,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,100 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 16,396$8,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,752.08 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 16,063$6,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,256.24 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 15,085$8,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,557 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 13,559$7,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,178.24 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 13,452$7,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,483.77 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 11,904$5,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,504.56 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 6,145$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.13 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 6,030$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.69 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 5,910$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.17 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 5,542$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.24 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 5,086$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 4,745$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.22 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 4,550$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.72 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 4,133$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.46 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,065$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.9 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,940$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.15 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 3,114$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.38 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,939$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.84 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 2,850$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.5 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 2,750$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 2,737$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 2,687$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.95 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 2,611$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.26 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 2,605$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.26 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 2,555$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.26 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 2,457$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.36 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 2,300$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.25 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.17 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 2,075$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.82 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 2,012$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.09 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 1,977$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.71 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,851$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.56 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,779$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.64 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,761$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.07 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,701$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.74 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,700$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.2 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 1,610$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,545$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.32 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 1,538$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.33 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,531$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.82 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,500$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.39 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,450$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.44 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 1,355$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.81 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,347$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.45 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,317$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.29 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,271$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.91 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 1,268$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.34 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,250$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.97 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 1,187$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde85…6b38backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,160$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,116$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.3 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.83 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.87 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,080$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.94 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,073$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.82 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,020$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.8 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…40cfbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 999.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.99 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 989.53$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.92 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 973.56$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.26 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 954.79$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 920.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 851.48$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.84 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 840.9$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.59 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 835.86$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.91 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 805.35$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.69 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 785.59$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.42 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 745$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.38 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 736.66$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.79 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 725.94$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.01 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 708.86$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.64 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 692.78$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 691$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.05 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 678.92$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.46 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 678.5$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.44 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 675.77$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.38 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 662.22$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.3 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 660.39$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 658.82$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 643.04$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.92 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 642.95$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.62 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 633$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 600.15$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.78 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 600$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.5 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 573.35$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.57 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 562.66$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.09 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 549.98$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 540.04$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.9 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 527.79$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.78 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…0808backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 527.73$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.