CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dec4f0390b4b8a874b537d5341b2bc2752c294cf934f6a8e728d7a261904e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 20c | 1,861$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.16 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 45c | 998.38$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…f949backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Under | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.98 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 44c | 329.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.56 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 50c | 304.12$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.06 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 299.93$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 49c | 287.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Over | 49c | 203.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…d9e7backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Under | 70c | 64.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 25c | 62.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed Over | 49c | 60.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…7ecebacked Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6353…97cebacked Over | 58c | 60.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Under | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 38c | 52.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 49c | 51.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 42c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 26c | 39.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…374fbacked Under | 51c | 39.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4769…4d14backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c364backed Over | 52c | 25.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 48c | 22.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…fc99backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…aa2abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.