TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3dab…374f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.11
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$32.61
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$24.67
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+97.7%+$48.87
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$31.57
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.7%+$99.78
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.85
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.4
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$71.82
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.68
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$22.73
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$127.84
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.32
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$55.52
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.97
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+220.9%+$109.55
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$46.45
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$34.7
Dota 2: GLYPH vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.29
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$19.13
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.87
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$25.58
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$51.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$18.11
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.59
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.