TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$508,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$608,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons68c87,511$59,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,799.5728748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Tundra Esports33c67,947$22,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,219.4322644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons62c21,869$13,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,310.233746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Falcons71c20,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.9927153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Team Falcons64c17,507$11,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,312.665244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons64c16,456$10,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,924.0813558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Falcons71c15,000$10,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,35019847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports36c15,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9736041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Tundra Esports28c14,236$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.4345139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons69c13,113$9,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,037.841,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x205c…9192backed Tundra Esports38c12,891$4,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,898.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports29c12,000$3,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,420.961,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports25c11,999$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,012.211,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons67c11,279$7,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,722.3696557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports30c10,379$3,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,077.0189741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Tundra Esports36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.994035%14 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports29c9,999$2,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,885.721,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports33c9,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9969644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Tundra Esports29c8,380$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.7768649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports27c8,357$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,280.771,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Tundra Esports26c8,063$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.41,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Tundra Esports29c7,907$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.1925446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5240…f84ebacked Team Falcons64c7,813$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports30c7,460$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.589749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons63c6,342$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.651,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons71c6,046$4,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.1256955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Tundra Esports38c5,561$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,093.2113854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Falcons71c5,546$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.6336248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Tundra Esports30c5,183$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53543344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tundra Esports27c5,169$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.1545750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Tundra Esports33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65041944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Tundra Esports32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60017651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Team Falcons72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40024153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Tundra Esports25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2502347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons72c4,610$3,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.825248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed Tundra Esports5c4,357$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Falcons75c4,186$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.4335960.4%217 W · 142 L-1.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Tundra Esports38c3,649$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.86842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Tundra Esports31c3,591$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.1230336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed Tundra Esports33c3,500$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick41cpaid-83.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb333…c7eebacked Team Falcons73c3,469$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.092560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed Team Falcons63c3,165$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.653161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Tundra Esports22c3,050$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.9941242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84049455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Tundra Esports31c2,976$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.084652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Tundra Esports36c2,959$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.266051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Team Falcons72c2,750$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.4965863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Tundra Esports29c2,571$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.549543.2%41 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Tundra Esports39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97512630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cd2…f5c4backed Team Falcons63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.997864.1%50 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Tundra Esports35c2,500$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.995848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Falcons71c2,253$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.3741351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Tundra Esports31c2,250$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.436547.7%31 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed Team Falcons67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.8122853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons67c2,189$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.2195342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Tundra Esports32c2,164$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.091,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…74fcbacked Team Falcons72c2,117$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.755251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Tundra Esports37c2,100$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77681029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Tundra Esports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tundra Esports38c1,965$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9317146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed Team Falcons76c1,876$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.371442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports33c1,796$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.3260646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Tundra Esports25c1,749$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Team Falcons71c1,625$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.4723459%138 W · 96 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked Team Falcons80c1,563$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.2122450%112 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Tundra Esports38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57018550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a28…871abacked Team Falcons63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5552100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eab…d4bfbacked Tundra Esports1c1,485$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.592119%4 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Tundra Esports28c1,481$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.2917757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed Team Falcons75c1,428$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.046527.7%18 W · 47 L-9.9wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Tundra Esports6c1,366$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7477941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Team Falcons71c1,362$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.2835951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Team Falcons71c1,353$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.8922868%155 W · 73 L+15.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons67c1,351$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.9979959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Team Falcons75c1,344$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.898360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Tundra Esports33c1,200$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39657449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Tundra Esports25c1,156$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.651,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Team Falcons62c1,152$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.3214562.1%90 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Tundra Esports36c1,117$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.023938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Tundra Esports22c1,117$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.061,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Team Falcons67c1,106$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.5612146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Falcons79c1,090$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8230155.5%167 W · 134 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked Team Falcons72c1,066$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.483557.1%20 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Team Falcons73c1,013$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.5748843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Tundra Esports36c1,009$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.247349.3%36 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Team Falcons63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3703847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Tundra Esports27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27017133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb24f…3432backed Team Falcons66c999.99$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34013742.3%58 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons67c999.97$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9956852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Tundra Esports37c999.95$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9826846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Falcons69c989.74$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.769132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked Team Falcons63c952.54$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.548959.6%53 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Falcons69c942.1$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.5458746.5%273 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Tundra Esports33c888$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29450749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons73c863.06$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.0336343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd71c…20b3backed Team Falcons64c861.77$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.243743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Tundra Esports21c835.86$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17514030.7%43 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Team Falcons61c829.99$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.727060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Falcons72c826.15$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5454753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Tundra Esports38c813.99$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.3217047.1%80 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.