CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d837a60ee9b243965473042e225f32b74446c554400ca6a94492b665c5f49d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, THUNDER dOWNUNDER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $399,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked B8 | 57c | 31,400$18,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,373.96 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked B8 | 74c | 21,674$16,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,642.33 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 40c | 10,000$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.73 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 19c | 8,085$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.06 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…1137backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 15c | 6,737$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 33c | 5,764$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.68 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed B8 | 58c | 5,321$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.35 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 4,960$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.79 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 49c | 4,770$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.43 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 40c | 4,665$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.09 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 18c | 4,628$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.97 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 47c | 3,773$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 33c | 3,768$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.1 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 34c | 3,750$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.17 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 3,609$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.51 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 3,594$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 22c | 3,392$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.28 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 21c | 3,357$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.97 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 27c | 3,329$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.9 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…6d32backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 33c | 3,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 2,888$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 12c | 2,824$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.91 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked B8 | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.98 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed B8 | 70c | 2,430$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.18 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed B8 | 70c | 2,394$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.6 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 13c | 2,312$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3aee…5808backed B8 | 50c | 2,297$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 49c | 2,204$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.53 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 32c | 2,076$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.58 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 47c | 1,759$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.54 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 28c | 1,755$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 40c | 1,698$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.62 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 1,590$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.36 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed B8 | 79c | 1,500$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.38 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…1428backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 40c | 1,425$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed B8 | 67c | 1,419$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked B8 | 56c | 1,374$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.78 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 1,154$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed B8 | 67c | 1,097$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.01 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 1,090$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.74 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 33c | 1,065$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 1,040$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.04 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked B8 | 68c | 1,027$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.01 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed B8 | 58c | 999.99$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.44 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…2cd1backed B8 | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed B8 | 68c | 999.67$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.8 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked B8 | 80c | 934.09$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.02 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked B8 | 79c | 892.54$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.48 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed B8 | 63c | 868.08$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 19c | 799.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed B8 | 71c | 773.29$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.27 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 21c | 770.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.91 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 13c | 769.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 16c | 730.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 15c | 716.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 11c | 716.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed B8 | 71c | 700.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.84 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 57c | 700.45$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.26 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…7752backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 11c | 689.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…aaaebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 34c | 643.62$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.03 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 39c | 632.45$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.68 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 46c | 630.6$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 13c | 630.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 608.95$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.22 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 19c | 600$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed B8 | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2c | 582.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed B8 | 69c | 579.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed B8 | 68c | 567$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 11c | 564.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 45c | 564.67$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 46c | 555.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.75 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed B8 | 64c | 544.16$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.16 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…afb0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 21c | 529.34$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 31c | 528.66$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.79 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 13c | 527$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 20c | 512.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 45c | 502.2$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.01 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 33c | 482.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 124 | 33.9%42 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed B8 | 61c | 455.25$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.93 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…dc1abacked B8 | 65c | 450$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 47c | 427.19$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 422.4$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 190 | 22.6%43 W · 147 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 33c | 400.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.15 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…3a81backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 29c | 400.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…20e4backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 27c | 399.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d8…cf41backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 43c | 386.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 384.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed B8 | 76c | 380$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 376.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked B8 | 80c | 367.25$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 362$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.