TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,756,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,743,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,756,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 689 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under42c727,571$304,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423,55977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over59c443,743$260,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260,203.4122348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198a…6762backed Over58c222,232$128,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,894.681258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c126,454$60,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,491.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Over52c122,272$63,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,317.962040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c119,534$61,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,041.371,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under44c104,250$46,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,150.320844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over55c49,481$27,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,015.7264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c25,718$11,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,859.0559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under47c24,862$11,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,276.1620044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under49c24,098$11,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,19712146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Under42c24,000$10,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,9204148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under42c18,888$7,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,955.0421836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c16,582$6,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,471.963,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under46c16,090$7,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,759.172,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Over51c16,000$8,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1503754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c12,927$7,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,478.122,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under64c12,063$7,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,339.762,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over55c10,889$5,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,988.785352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under44c10,449$4,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,887.552,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under41c9,657$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,657.0221849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Over56c9,500$5,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,32019345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c8,923$3,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,079.132,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Over58c8,917$5,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,171.76939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over51c8,776$4,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,447.8814343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Over56c8,215$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,600.48349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c8,020$3,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,310.781,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under46c7,265$3,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,937.447144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under41c7,078$2,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,175.7419038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c6,802$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,945.173,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under41c6,000$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,54022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over58c5,821$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,387.751,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over57c5,544$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.0174447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under42c5,523$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.051,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7528…4e36backed Over57c5,263$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under42c5,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9710335%36 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under55c4,829$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.1725844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under48c4,800$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,49637850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…ac5abacked Over56c4,770$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6712227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-41.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over58c4,600$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.9847648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under48c4,416$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.3226454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under46c4,347$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.3837754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under46c4,318$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.3450243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Over50c4,168$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.8715249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under44c4,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.211,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under47c4,000$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,11548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f67…a882backed Under49c3,976$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.32437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under49c3,881$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.35554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over59c3,850$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.525857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Over58c3,726$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1616434.4%22 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b57…1f2ebacked Under55c3,525$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.252552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5700…5a58backed Over58c3,448$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over58c3,448$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over59c3,390$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed Under50c3,187$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.351957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under71c3,171$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.321166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under47c3,018$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.547643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed Over58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7401163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over14c2,941$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.684,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over31c2,758$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.782,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Under42c2,725$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.7825031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under42c2,587$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.4729449%144 W · 150 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under41c2,576$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.8428162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over58c2,532$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.57943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf07c…78f6backed Over44c2,522$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10012954.3%70 W · 59 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Over58c2,458$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.69150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under41c2,439$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.0216116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c2,436$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over42c2,414$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.5674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.586930.4%21 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…2ed4backed Under43c2,325$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.254447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over36c2,294$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.761,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under48c2,255$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.8828025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under43c2,200$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24847442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under46c2,108$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.5971638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under44c2,100$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1761,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c2,090$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,13236031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,084$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.981,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.822951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under42c2,005$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.791,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Under41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.0517632.4%57 W · 119 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ce…8ccfbacked Over59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf92…7e3fbacked Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9201560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+111.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over58c1,730$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.3513762.8%86 W · 51 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Over58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Under54c1,707$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.169547.4%45 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Under45c1,684$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.3178317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Under50c1,597$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.381747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over42c1,580$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4110146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under41c1,572$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.3784751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Over60c1,568$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.678835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over52c1,548$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.6863255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over58c1,400$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8127859%46 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2837…f0dbbacked Under43c1,395$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.351643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under48c1,390$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.110744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over58c1,379$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80020547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x962e…3c2dbacked Under62c1,379$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.543650%18 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Over28c1,294$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.55541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.