Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fa051de29f2f71b525b4191c207dd534adfcccd624f6db6e73668c0f465d891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 18c | 31,883$5,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,738.88 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 18,658$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 13c | 8,722$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.83 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 12c | 7,913$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.05 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 11c | 5,427$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.41 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Over | 19c | 4,870$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.36 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 6c | 4,074$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.25 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 9c | 2,560$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.94 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 19c | 2,105$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Over | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 12c | 1,937$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.03 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 18c | 1,632$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.77 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 19c | 1,537$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.1 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 19c | 1,191$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.29 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 16c | 1,131$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.85 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 10c | 1,127$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.93 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 15c | 1,033$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Over | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 19c | 930.57$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.86 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…2763backed Over | 19c | 842.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 186 | 26.3%49 W · 137 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…a870backed Over | 2c | 741.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 9c | 607.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 6c | 499.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 18c | 479.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 8c | 392.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 18c | 389.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b1…5443backed Over | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…08bfbacked Over | 19c | 356$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a5…5e11backed Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Over | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 19c | 246.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 16c | 245.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 10c | 243.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 19c | 242.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 19c | 235.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 17c | 173$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…3efbbacked Over | 19c | 167.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…f6dabacked Over | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 136 | 33.1%45 W · 91 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 18c | 139.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 8c | 129.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…d1efbacked Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4c26backed Over | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320a…4453backed Over | 19c | 61.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5this page
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.