Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x513c5ef12e2982766ba33edba12dd59811340ae3374a70ec25606f62adedf1aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 4c | 20,361$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.44 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 8c | 11,995$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 1c | 4,316$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 6c | 4,034$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.38 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…a7b7backed Under | 7c | 3,973$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.59 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Under | 5c | 3,888$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 5c | 3,403$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Under | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Under | 5c | 2,983$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 9c | 2,742$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.79 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 251 | 25.1%63 W · 188 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 6c | 2,182$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Under | 7c | 1,841$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 4c | 1,707$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 6c | 1,547$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 5c | 1,358$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under | 5c | 1,221$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 5c | 1,079$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 5c | 999.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 6c | 763.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 5c | 599.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 7c | 593.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 6c | 493.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 5c | 450.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 5c | 424.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Under | 6c | 357.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…4002backed Under | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…5560backed Under | 6c | 285.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Under | 6c | 284.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 7c | 261.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 5c | 221.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…416dbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5this page
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.