Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3368bad11f9f0686c6948811d8ec3bda7142ee4fc04b0b1a435d971adeca07e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 1,115$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.85 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 791$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.68 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 654.16$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.75 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 59c | 470.5$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.44 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 59c | 292$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 46c | 290$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bc…d866backed Over | 60c | 172.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 61c | 161.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…703fbacked Over | 63c | 152.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 106.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Over | 61c | 98.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…1247backed Over | 52c | 77.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 39c | 77.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 39c | 73.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 41c | 59.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…03acbacked Over | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5247…ece7backed Under | 39c | 53.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…6fdfbacked Under | 40c | 49.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…eacfbacked Over | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked Over | 61c | 39.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…241abacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…fc85backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…7862backed Over | 54c | 31.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…cfdebacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…07c4backed Over | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 51c | 26.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.