TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Scotland (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Haitiof Scotland, Haiti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$447,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$397,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8dcb…6d5bbacked Scotland24c115,479$27,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,224.94540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+235.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Scotland17c51,270$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,550.362,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Haiti80c22,300$17,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,551.23,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Scotland20c10,052$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.22,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Haiti76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Scotland20c7,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.9911443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Haiti77c6,949$5,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.2825848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Haiti75c6,949$5,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.194,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Scotland21c6,368$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.932,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Haiti78c6,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9622451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Scotland20c5,097$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.472,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19de…e917backed Scotland23c4,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.82722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Haiti78c3,147$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.411,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Scotland16c3,023$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.083,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked Scotland14c2,999$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.866334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Scotland22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4886…bcc1backed Scotland22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Scotland22c2,146$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.0465835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Scotland20c2,080$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.3338526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Haiti79c2,028$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.011,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Scotland20c1,690$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.317629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e1a…0d7fbacked Scotland19c1,615$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb907…2c9ebacked Scotland19c1,555$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.455364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+32.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Scotland22c1,490$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.691,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Scotland21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010034%34 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47e1…da31backed Scotland20c1,276$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.995944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Haiti77c1,258$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.552,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Scotland23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Scotland20c1,064$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.851315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Scotland14c1,010$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9443230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc92…7e4abacked Scotland15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503721.6%8 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c7…5a3dbacked Scotland22c982.36$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.021323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e7…31f3backed Scotland22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Scotland23c847.83$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf4e…dc2abacked Scotland23c787.37$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18160%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f48…a145backed Scotland21c714.28$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.342240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Haiti80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Scotland21c538.61$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.381,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Scotland19c538.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019742.1%83 W · 114 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Haiti79c512.22$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c04…7dcabacked Haiti79c509.99$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.14542.2%19 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-40.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8b5…280cbacked Scotland21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008135.8%29 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed Scotland17c470.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe4…6b3fbacked Scotland21c463.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.331435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f8…28babacked Scotland21c411.77$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Haiti79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8467354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab20…6b17backed Scotland21c380.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Scotland21c380.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010534.3%36 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6224…4ed0backed Haiti80c380$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Scotland14c358.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2316833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Scotland19c308.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc327…8b66backed Scotland23c306.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Haiti75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Haiti79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6313846.4%64 W · 74 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Scotland22c294.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6919935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Scotland18c277.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502015%3 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Scotland18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018040%72 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Scotland19c247.37$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4714317.5%25 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23bb…4a38backed Scotland21c244.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.411233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e7…3925backed Scotland20c240$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489838.8%38 W · 60 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Scotland21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027940.5%113 W · 166 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1a…5e32backed Scotland22c233.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.42825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…8ddabacked Scotland21c233.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498035%28 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Haiti80c229.84$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Haiti80c229.84$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0248152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Haiti78c215.6$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.123,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660e…0e69backed Scotland23c215.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.543129%9 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Scotland13c204.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6139039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e2…e307backed Scotland7c204.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Scotland22c204.23$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6611329.2%33 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d76…196fbacked Scotland22c203.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456929%20 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Haiti80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Scotland19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384934.7%17 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Scotland9c187.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.061,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Scotland22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409418.1%17 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a6…08bfbacked Scotland16c165.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.698438.1%32 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed Scotland22c160$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.210934.9%38 W · 71 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Scotland18c152.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289825.5%25 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Haiti79c150$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.951,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Scotland13c141.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8216052.5%84 W · 76 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d3b…583bbacked Scotland18c140.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd1…c657backed Scotland23c139.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.140%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Scotland22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Scotland22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016538.2%63 W · 102 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Haiti77c136.17$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.642,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Scotland11c135$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Scotland23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022147.1%104 W · 117 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed Haiti79c129.19$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.136445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3d…3681backed Haiti79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583375.8%25 W · 8 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Scotland20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5892038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Scotland21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb951…a65dbacked Scotland21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…b157backed Scotland17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012030.8%37 W · 83 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd855…9796backed Scotland17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d5a…ad91backed Scotland17c110$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb43e…ef83backed Scotland19c101.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.331723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Haiti79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Scotland21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2132928%92 W · 237 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Scotland21c99.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.682348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Scotland17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712437.1%46 W · 78 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.