TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c11,650$6,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,828.964,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Under40c9,700$3,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,821.116929%20 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over60c4,701$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.532,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ea…f348backed Under39c3,795$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.911421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under40c3,457$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.44,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under43c3,247$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.1116165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over61c3,194$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.033,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over60c2,169$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.2289443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under41c1,952$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.75360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over60c1,634$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.3770648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf9e…518ebacked Under40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Under46c1,412$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.5817751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under39c1,400$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.9947648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over60c1,240$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.9577845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under40c1,189$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.9345038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under40c880.41$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.82,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over60c740.15$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.2476551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c677.91$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.534,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Under41c612.06$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.066243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b28…0ed2backed Under40c541.53$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.534126.8%11 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over7c522.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.022,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over60c500.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.061,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over4c453.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5820850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over59c423$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.572,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a4…fed7backed Over51c392.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under46c357.79$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.251,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53a5…fc83backed Under41c328$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Under78c316.93$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6210359.2%61 W · 42 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Over62c316.11$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.998652.3%45 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Over62c306.02$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.739551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over60c299$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09bf…87aabacked Under40c290.93$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.563732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2f3…9531backed Under40c252.5$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.54936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010534.3%36 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d54…6022backed Over61c249.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.512871.9%92 W · 36 L+14.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Under41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.926921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under40c230$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13873234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf759…faa7backed Under43c225.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.754719.1%9 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.335635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x727e…e1c8backed Under48c205.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Under49c203.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6117432.2%56 W · 118 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over16c202.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.862,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11610672.6%77 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb58…6295backed Over57c198.85$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.622850%14 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over59c180.81$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.092,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.716655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over32c168.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8221…2217backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005879.3%46 W · 12 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under40c156.06$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.381,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8520841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Under39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+127.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Under76c131.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7612964.3%83 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over60c126.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7348152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over60c124$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.42,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5046…c3fdbacked Under41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27a…78d8backed Under41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9522752.4%119 W · 108 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over61c111.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.251,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over59c110.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4841344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19a3…09b0backed Under39c110.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.262347.8%11 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick28cpaid+39.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under68c101.24$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8241444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1312…e932backed Over20c100.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.728541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed Under39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6110934.9%38 W · 71 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9933350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc3…4141backed Under40c87.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.510529.5%31 W · 74 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over56c87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011560%69 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Over61c80$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.830040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under46c78.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3770948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32d…1d8abacked Under40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0425…5d14backed Over60c71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.62740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x628b…8be6backed Under40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over59c61.17$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.926537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eab…89dcbacked Over53c60.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.213759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over59c59.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.142,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Under53c56.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8515448.1%74 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d6…fab4backed Under40c53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82532%8 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…ac6dbacked Under51c52.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.692050%10 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadb8…c3f0backed Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under80c52.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a0d…92e9backed Under48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.04742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…d6eabacked Under45c51.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over59c51.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.673,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over35c50.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1593…2a2abacked Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d6…90aabacked Under39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.517038.2%65 W · 105 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c3e…2fa0backed Under41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over61c46.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.41,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over57c46.16$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1732855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2e…f0e2backed Under46c45.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x660c…7f7abacked Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8219047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.836838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a7…c5a2backed Over61c37.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.161926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Over61c37.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6725857%147 W · 111 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75d8…2e25backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207636.8%28 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013345.9%61 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4361…dd50backed Under40c32.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d74…3ecdbacked Over61c31.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17be…8c5ebacked Under49c30.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.753250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.