Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03afd22cb71834ca2843d8c16acae19bb5fdb1b416604e60f7a7563041d342ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,002$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.75 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 13c | 2,498$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.6 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked No | 58c | 1,964$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.95 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,665$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 77c | 1,383$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.61 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 1,351$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.54 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 78c | 1,280$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.15 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 1,159$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,153$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.93 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed No | 56c | 1,089$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.36 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes | 22c | 1,043$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 18c | 957.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.6 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 33c | 472.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…fc0bbacked Yes | 22c | 447.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 32.7%34 W · 70 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked No | 54c | 357.3$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.36 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x228d…a448backed Yes | 16c | 266.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 227.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c0…47c5backed No | 62c | 160.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 130.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…6288backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 44c | 100.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 76c | 98.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 23c | 98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…a3b1backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed No | 62c | 65.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…f3f5backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed No | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked No | 77c | 45.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 78c | 20.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.