Fifa International · resolved market
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc28c24a30438abe26f257af714116f9e68f6c2b53e9f8fd1125b2bd230951efe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under | 33c | 3,373$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.76 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 72c | 3,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 2,557$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.8 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7294…3b5dbacked Under | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Under | 44c | 1,260$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.34 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Under | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +16.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 79c | 951.7$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.08 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 79c | 913.65$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.87 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 75c | 895.24$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.81 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 78c | 790.58$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.93 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 668.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 77c | 659.22$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.71 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 608.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 78c | 500.1$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Over | 24c | 484.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 52c | 450$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.28 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 25c | 436.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 78c | 332.56$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…0a8bbacked Over | 26c | 305.4$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…4cbcbacked Under | 78c | 256.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 76c | 191.37$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 78c | 188.51$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 26c | 160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 76c | 156.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 25c | 156$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd977…2dc4backed Over | 16c | 135$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 24c | 134.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…d90dbacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…7c9abacked Under | 78c | 115.77$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…6b68backed Over | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked Under | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…c1c2backed Under | 77c | 100.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 74c | 99.58$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 15c | 99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…98edbacked Under | 76c | 96.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 14c | 96.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 16c | 94.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…4a18backed Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 22c | 86.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 85.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Over | 22c | 80.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 23c | 69.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c8…e1aabacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…8bbdbacked Under | 77c | 37.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…683fbacked Under | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…41f2backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…7086backed Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Under | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…a26dbacked Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Under | 77c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a3…dc78backed Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c99…fb5ebacked Under | 78c | 18.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5this page
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5Over won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
- Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Scotland won
- Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Haiti won
- Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Haiti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.