Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe894c3306bb0c9a989e54b97db8011e69af6c3d7e59b8fc4927d121ce22004e0

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,198

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,004 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaaa4…8968backed Over	38c	3,883$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.05	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	62c	2,200$1,367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.14	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	33c	1,764$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.67	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	69c	1,630$1,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.95	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	33c	1,500$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	228	13.2%30 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over	37c	1,355$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.73	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	65c	1,209$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.59	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	67c	1,155$770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.83	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under	71c	999.97$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.99	644	43.3%279 W · 365 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	63c	969.39$615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.85	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…2079backed Over	36c	910.93$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.39	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under	51c	860$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.4	68	57.4%39 W · 29 L	+7.9wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	14c	725.85$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.07	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b6…dd5bbacked Over	35c	638.71$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under	65c	575$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.25	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Over	37c	540.54$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over	33c	500.1$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.03	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	51c	469.03$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.82	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over	36c	457.2$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.59	154	24.7%38 W · 116 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over	49c	450$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.5	198	38.4%76 W · 122 L	-18.4wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over	49c	450$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.5	190	39.5%75 W · 115 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over	49c	450$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.5	190	39.5%75 W · 115 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	63c	396$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.52	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	63c	396$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.52	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	27c	356.6$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.23	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over	37c	312.68$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.46	197	42.1%83 W · 114 L	-11.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under	66c	242.16$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.13	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	32c	228.79$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.31	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6645…9ebcbacked Over	37c	223.55$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.99	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	35c	214.19$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.97	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	12c	173.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.14	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Over	34c	170.1$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	85	27.1%23 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	65c	169.44$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.42	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over	34c	130.47$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.89	265	37.7%100 W · 165 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	63c	128.57$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.57	1,204	48.9%589 W · 615 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over	37c	112.43$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.76	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	66c	99.96$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.49	1,616	51.2%827 W · 789 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5e…17dbbacked Over	36c	86.03$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.67	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+4.6wins	+0.27per pick	56cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	37c	81.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…6295backed Over	31c	80.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over	33c	75.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	667	45%300 W · 367 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0906…54f4backed Over	38c	65.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1312…e932backed Over	24c	62.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e6…f019backed Under	66c	60.61$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.61	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4711…533cbacked Over	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over	36c	54.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	180	36.1%65 W · 115 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Over	37c	54.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	26cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	70c	52.8$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.72	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	64c	47.17$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.05	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc40…4c26backed Over	37c	44.47$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	24c	43$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa29…7813backed Over	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefca…ed51backed Over	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44df…5a72backed Over	35c	34.29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b25…d90dbacked Under	75c	33.33$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.33	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	70cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65a8…a07dbacked Over	33c	33.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d9…d6c1backed Under	66c	23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.82	345	44.1%152 W · 193 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe382…1037backed Under	68c	19.12$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.12	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	66c	16.75$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.77	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d10…5c74backed Under	67c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.9	114	57%65 W · 49 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5this page
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 2.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5Over won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 5.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 0.5Over won
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5Under won
Spread: Haiti (-1.5)Scotland won
Spread: Haiti (-2.5)Scotland won
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)Haiti won
Spread: Scotland (-2.5)Haiti won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event