TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3535…a775backed Over36c75,077$27,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,025.692326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under64c60,120$38,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,639.61,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over23c33,854$7,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,638.762,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under64c33,030$21,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,840.2777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c26,596$20,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,541.224,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0753…d174backed Over36c9,454$3,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,403.44944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+74.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over34c7,652$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.122,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over36c7,405$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,665.7912248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Under66c7,377$4,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,508.344148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c6,705$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.023,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…2411backed Over35c5,714$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under74c4,645$3,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.294,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under79c3,640$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.0239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over33c3,510$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.297642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.9265948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over27c3,056$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.1259230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over35c2,889$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.9889443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under65c2,808$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.7531152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Over34c2,724$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.166434.4%22 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over27c2,528$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.441,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under65c2,319$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.6228025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over36c2,039$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.097943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9935446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Under66c1,970$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.93070%21 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over34c1,796$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.863,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Over17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over36c1,617$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.2214612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa667…9a23backed Over36c1,612$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.321040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1437…3553backed Under65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.465100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under68c1,534$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.9866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over33c1,407$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.463,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over27c1,185$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.082,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over26c1,157$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.582,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Over30c1,000$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9215128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over31c1,000$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31243826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under71c999.99$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over22c996.27$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4343230.1%130 W · 302 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over34c905.74$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.451,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64c3…71f9backed Under65c833.11$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.59955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Under68c809.99$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.419531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under64c784$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.861,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7294…3b5dbacked Under65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.232157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed Under65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.239849%48 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.585143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over24c719.95$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a36…2450backed Under80c704.22$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.843729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc92…7e4abacked Over21c691.1$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.133721.6%8 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9456…af0cbacked Under73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.936264.5%40 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over36c664$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.621,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Under65c653.85$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8524533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21022551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under65c599.77$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9234144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Under72c554.17$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1717447.7%83 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c5…22f7backed Under66c546.03$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.653228.1%9 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a09…f868backed Under68c514.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.713658.3%21 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Under66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x611f…b58fbacked Under64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under67c447.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6616153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7813948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Under70c430$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ba…f577backed Under70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over33c416.85$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7541857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8433120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under68c392.55$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6216165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed68…3555backed Under65c390.83$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.792161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Under65c384.62$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.621838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over34c363.8$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.233,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Under80c357.62$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5229558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over35c349.49$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.422,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb534…06a6backed Under70c323.19$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.962556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d93…2756backed Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+31.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7cc2…bf53backed Under65c307.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.173754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over29c303.47$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0127641.3%114 W · 162 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over21c300.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.471,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under69c300$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.615655.1%86 W · 70 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over35c299.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10517629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x371e…95a3backed Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over35c288.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.272,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over35c285.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0daf…be17backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcad…317bbacked Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3756…f828backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d1…6194backed Over17c277.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2220056%112 W · 88 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under78c254.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.874768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e0…8f89backed Under78c236.56$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.564052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under80c236.3$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2611648.3%56 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0369…c2ebbacked Under77c236.03$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.03540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under69c234.57$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7239932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0326…3daebacked Over22c229.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6419031.6%60 W · 130 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e6…1279backed Over22c227.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Over36c222.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over35c214.26$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9921840.8%89 W · 129 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under65c203.2$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…dd47backed Over36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7026537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7024247.1%114 W · 128 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.