CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89060c40c1138d707f40a6acc1cadc79fa224180deef0f4af98d173928336641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 367 | 53.7%197 W · 170 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 51c | 4,272$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.14 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 51c | 2,156$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.43 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 57c | 1,771$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.05 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 40c | 1,646$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.53 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 48c | 1,147$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.47 | 368 | 45.1%166 W · 202 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…2cd1backed Over | 55c | 1,018$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 52c | 766.43$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 52c | 737.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.74 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 51c | 663.42$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.42 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 604.47$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.19 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 48c | 540.17$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.64 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 52c | 502.72$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.41 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 496.48$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 45c | 477.73$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.75 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Under | 49c | 389.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.73 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Under | 45c | 310$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.9 | 194 | 53.1%103 W · 91 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 254.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.69 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed Under | 45c | 221.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 49c | 221.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…36fcbacked Over | 51c | 215.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 213.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed Under | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 51c | 197.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 51c | 187.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 502 | 51%256 W · 246 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…c442backed Over | 52c | 143.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 48c | 128.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…57eebacked Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Over | 49c | 101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 88.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 49c | 71.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 336 | 50%168 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 55c | 51.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…e4a3backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…374fbacked Under | 54c | 49.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 63c | 48.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…ca12backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 48c | 47.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed Under | 51c | 42.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 41.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…4bf4backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…75eabacked Under | 54c | 37.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…e453backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed Under | 47c | 30.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 49c | 26.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 48c | 23.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1BetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)BetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.