CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ad716fd93e6b9d902eb04972ed01ddbce57fa6100da7ed6c0435630faa23bf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof THUNDER dOWNUNDER, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 30,581$7,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,994.46 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…1137backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 26,958$9,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,773.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FlyQuest | 77c | 22,961$17,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,263.71 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed FlyQuest | 65c | 16,401$10,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,776.3 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed FlyQuest | 66c | 15,017$9,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,156 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.97 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…2d93backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 0c | 13,619$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked FlyQuest | 63c | 12,577$7,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.12 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked FlyQuest | 65c | 12,500$8,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 38c | 12,342$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,689.85 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1c | 11,644$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…8911backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 12c | 11,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed FlyQuest | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.98 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 9,310$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.56 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 9,289$3,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.03 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked FlyQuest | 64c | 7,844$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.16 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FlyQuest | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.12 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FlyQuest | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 25c | 4,754$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.41 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 4c | 3,705$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.35 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FlyQuest | 77c | 3,283$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.93 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked FlyQuest | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed FlyQuest | 63c | 2,902$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.73 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed FlyQuest | 74c | 2,546$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.34 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FlyQuest | 67c | 2,250$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 2,222$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.69 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed FlyQuest | 63c | 2,180$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.59 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…6c9abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 2,136$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1c | 2,080$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FlyQuest | 66c | 2,070$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.35 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 1,999$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FlyQuest | 64c | 1,915$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.38 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed FlyQuest | 78c | 1,913$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.97 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.45 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed FlyQuest | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.11 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2c | 1,063$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FlyQuest | 70c | 1,062$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.69 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…756bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 12c | 1,056$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked FlyQuest | 65c | 1,051$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.77 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FlyQuest | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 949.7$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.4 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 37c | 914$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.18 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…4e4cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed FlyQuest | 64c | 825.83$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.3 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FlyQuest | 63c | 813.61$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.72 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 32c | 782.5$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.29 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FlyQuest | 64c | 779.77$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FlyQuest | 68c | 771.51$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…efabbacked FlyQuest | 66c | 770$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FlyQuest | 63c | 756.25$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.28 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…9cbabacked FlyQuest | 64c | 756$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 13c | 750$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…1417backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 717.53$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 704.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.27 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…24a0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 4c | 701.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 696.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.91 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2c | 625$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…85b9backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 37c | 598.16$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.74 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 29c | 580$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 32c | 571.26$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FlyQuest | 79c | 562.03$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed FlyQuest | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 425.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FlyQuest | 67c | 422.45$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.41 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 411.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 405.29$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 30c | 400.19$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 394.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed FlyQuest | 62c | 355$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 13c | 350$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a4…3ca7backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 305.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…9de3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 305.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked FlyQuest | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bd…4d89backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 37c | 264.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed FlyQuest | 65c | 254.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf356…7d7ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 6c | 254$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 37c | 250$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed FlyQuest | 66c | 227.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 221.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 31c | 214$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…374fbacked FlyQuest | 65c | 205.2$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 34c | 201.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…7358backed FlyQuest | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed FlyQuest | 64c | 189.53$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c38cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 165.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 31c | 160.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FlyQuest | 69c | 160.41$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…aa80backed FlyQuest | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed FlyQuest | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed FlyQuest | 74c | 148.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1FlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)FlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.