CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd08c20ac3732af64c16e31e52b2deb75c4032e795e2cbec9e18dde45cdcb8054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 63c | 7,897$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.18 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…4790backed Over | 37c | 1,609$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Over | 37c | 1,089$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.87 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 64c | 1,042$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.15 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 37c | 975.68$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 33c | 969.09$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Over | 37c | 792.06$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.06 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 66c | 782.8$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Over | 36c | 626.69$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.61 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…31a1backed Over | 36c | 497.89$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.24 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Over | 36c | 492.63$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.65 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Over | 37c | 492$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed Over | 37c | 450.93$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.84 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Over | 37c | 450.45$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 64c | 370.36$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 35c | 332.9$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…36fdbacked Over | 36c | 325$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 37c | 251.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Over | 39c | 237.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…7b6cbacked Over | 41c | 234.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Over | 37c | 197$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 60c | 152.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 36c | 103.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…3d3bbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Under | 58c | 65.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Over | 41c | 63.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed Under | 61c | 62.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 57c | 61.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 42c | 52.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 64c | 51.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…72f5backed Over | 42c | 47.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 43.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…1c2fbacked Over | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 39c | 32.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 37c | 31.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 63c | 30.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…0ae9backed Over | 37c | 29.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 27.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…426dbacked Over | 37c | 27.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 59c | 25.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 59c | 23.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 59c | 21.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 50c | 20.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 64c | 17.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1FlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)FlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.