CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x707e15599843e78e16a5b24e256308c177df9870211b63a69598befdc0b730c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, THUNDER dOWNUNDER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $333,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 65,000$33,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,799.97 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked FlyQuest | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,199.89 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 51c | 58,029$29,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,674.91 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…9770backed FlyQuest | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…4790backed FlyQuest | 48c | 22,494$10,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,738.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked FlyQuest | 48c | 19,832$9,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,312.84 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.1wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…d455backed FlyQuest | 48c | 19,523$9,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,151.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…ab38backed FlyQuest | 48c | 14,874$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,734.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 51c | 11,706$5,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,952.83 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 11,268$5,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,586.12 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed FlyQuest | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.61 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 10,045$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,048.66 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FlyQuest | 46c | 8,936$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,825.49 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 47c | 8,838$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.69 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 43c | 8,631$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.99 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 7,883$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.16 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 7,012$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.33 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…4106backed FlyQuest | 48c | 6,824$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,548.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed FlyQuest | 48c | 5,083$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.33 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…a7a8backed FlyQuest | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed FlyQuest | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 3,653$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.39 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…30f0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 2,912$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.38 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 2,509$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.68 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FlyQuest | 56c | 2,271$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.3 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed FlyQuest | 53c | 2,152$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.88 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FlyQuest | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.16 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed FlyQuest | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed FlyQuest | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed FlyQuest | 47c | 1,888$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.41 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed FlyQuest | 47c | 1,680$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.36 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked FlyQuest | 52c | 1,445$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.17 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c0…e88fbacked FlyQuest | 48c | 1,393$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 51c | 1,174$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed FlyQuest | 50c | 1,140$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.88 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 1,044$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.33 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6a…925fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 1,034$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.12 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 919.41$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.09 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 851.4$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.57 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FlyQuest | 50c | 840$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked FlyQuest | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FlyQuest | 49c | 650.72$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.72 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 638.29$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 567.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed FlyQuest | 65c | 563.15$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 54c | 557.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 542$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked FlyQuest | 63c | 495.74$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.45 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a31…388cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 42c | 481.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 54c | 442.74$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed FlyQuest | 54c | 440.01$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.71 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked FlyQuest | 50c | 408.8$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…2d49backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 367.58$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.14 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 41c | 366.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.21 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 41c | 347.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 51c | 341.18$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 325.51$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.27 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 324.53$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 316.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 44c | 311.43$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.36 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…5c42backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 28c | 307.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FlyQuest | 47c | 299.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed FlyQuest | 48c | 295.34$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.06 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked FlyQuest | 48c | 290$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 42c | 286.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked FlyQuest | 62c | 285.08$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 271.7$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 41c | 261.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed FlyQuest | 62c | 240$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 41c | 220$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 50c | 216.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked FlyQuest | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FlyQuest | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed FlyQuest | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed FlyQuest | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 192.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b6…ae5dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 52c | 182.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1FlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.