CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8c05aaf64f561c0d882e189da6143f38021d3db2536ada05c4cfc0bc275f2bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof THUNDER dOWNUNDER, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 8,073$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.42 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 32c | 8,000$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.77 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked FlyQuest | 66c | 7,500$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.39 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked FlyQuest | 71c | 7,422$5,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.31 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 29c | 6,223$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.81 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…8911backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 18c | 5,077$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 8c | 4,855$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.07 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 10c | 4,633$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.87 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2c | 3,748$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 9c | 2,759$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.89 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FlyQuest | 71c | 2,292$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.78 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FlyQuest | 69c | 2,000$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.64 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 21c | 1,607$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.42 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 11c | 1,393$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 1,151$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.32 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…24a0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1c | 1,067$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 1,015$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.19 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 8c | 1,001$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed FlyQuest | 73c | 908.46$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.53 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 21c | 888.21$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 30c | 884$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…3816backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 10c | 830$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 8c | 811.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed FlyQuest | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 16c | 788.94$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 31c | 741.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed FlyQuest | 69c | 712.36$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.03 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…4ef6backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 5c | 710$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 14c | 650$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 22c | 638.77$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…de17backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 18c | 634.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a4…3ca7backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 27c | 627.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 13c | 600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 590.16$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed FlyQuest | 60c | 570.47$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.19 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed FlyQuest | 72c | 547.56$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 18c | 519.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed FlyQuest | 79c | 504$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked FlyQuest | 71c | 421.18$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…ece1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 17c | 399.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 21c | 354.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 29c | 337.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 16c | 332.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 22c | 326.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 27c | 278.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 16c | 269$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 24c | 258$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 26c | 249.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 20c | 226.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 30c | 219.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed FlyQuest | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 10c | 199.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 32c | 195.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 185$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…0bffbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 8c | 185$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 182.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FlyQuest | 78c | 172.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 22c | 158$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 16c | 157$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 18c | 156.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 154.15$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…ee8ebacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac78…83cdbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c38cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 10c | 145.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…374fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FlyQuest | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FlyQuest | 71c | 137.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9a…9e52backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 10c | 135$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -9.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 16c | 131.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 23c | 128.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…71dfbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2499…ce20backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 22c | 119.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 31c | 117$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…5c93backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 30c | 113.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed FlyQuest | 71c | 105.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…8273backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 15c | 103.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…3d3bbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…6be6backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FlyQuest | 80c | 92.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed FlyQuest | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 21c | 82.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 19c | 80.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 28c | 75.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked FlyQuest | 72c | 69.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…6338backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 15c | 65.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 36c | 63.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1FlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5)FlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.