TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Legacy, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$240,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Legacy53c20,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,50050254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Legacy52c18,070$9,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,698.0833343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed BetBoom Team49c13,939$6,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,827.7415947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BetBoom Team51c12,518$6,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,327.542,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team46c11,553$5,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,335.833,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Legacy51c10,132$5,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,979.1576657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed BetBoom Team49c9,000$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,369.9612653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc882…0662backed BetBoom Team49c8,888$4,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,363.7213333.1%44 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Legacy52c8,077$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,876.9233359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed BetBoom Team24c6,816$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.4932425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team33c6,202$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.142,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed BetBoom Team48c5,947$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.3920947.8%100 W · 109 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Legacy51c5,300$2,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,59710560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed BetBoom Team48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40023343.8%102 W · 131 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked BetBoom Team48c4,750$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.987441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Legacy56c4,628$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.481,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bfe…1220backed Legacy51c4,513$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.569266.3%61 W · 31 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Legacy51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.575052%26 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f6…f51cbacked Legacy66c3,544$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.642360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Legacy53c3,537$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.6146246.8%216 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Legacy52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4407247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed BetBoom Team48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44011439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed BetBoom Team49c2,736$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.1546349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BetBoom Team24c2,360$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.914,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed BetBoom Team48c2,043$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.492360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3621…2d2dbacked BetBoom Team13c1,922$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.899040%36 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BetBoom Team50c1,788$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.395,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed BetBoom Team57c1,726$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.5655343.2%239 W · 314 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked BetBoom Team38c1,703$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.132,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Legacy51c1,567$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.472,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Legacy51c1,529$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.1961834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy49c1,522$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.745,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team25c1,501$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.176,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy72c1,365$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.654,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team47c1,298$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.52,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked BetBoom Team1c1,203$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5170423.9%168 W · 536 L+2.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked BetBoom Team11c1,160$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.223351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed BetBoom Team44c1,131$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed BetBoom Team49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5395156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed BetBoom Team50c1,060$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53025749%126 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed BetBoom Team49c1,016$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.613966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked BetBoom Team2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Legacy50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50065351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed BetBoom Team22c949.99$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2061,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Legacy53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.41,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Legacy52c894.23$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.2312651.6%65 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team10c865.55$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.981,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked BetBoom Team25c800$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0394945.8%435 W · 514 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BetBoom Team23c756$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.025,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked BetBoom Team11c733.28$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5540140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed BetBoom Team49c730$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.729052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed BetBoom Team44c700$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30950846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed BetBoom Team51c691.22$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.5248939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Legacy73c680.55$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5540148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed BetBoom Team52c656.23$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.628947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked BetBoom Team41c651.08$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26910532.4%34 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed BetBoom Team4c600.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3825416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked BetBoom Team12c570.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.561,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Legacy51c516$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8438312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2700…aa2abacked BetBoom Team48c504.99$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Legacy51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24518442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BetBoom Team50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Legacy65c500$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.751,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed BetBoom Team50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked BetBoom Team14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7035744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed BetBoom Team10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506536.9%24 W · 41 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BetBoom Team28c492.03$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.164,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed BetBoom Team30c474.44$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked BetBoom Team47c462.21$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21835460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Legacy51c444.9$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21818061.7%111 W · 69 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed BetBoom Team51c443.75$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.218338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa272…797abacked BetBoom Team48c431.25$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2074841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed BetBoom Team49c417.36$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.512,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed BetBoom Team49c410$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.917454%94 W · 80 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Legacy48c409.77$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.081,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Legacy49c400.24$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.94546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed BetBoom Team52c378.53$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.661,37766.4%914 W · 463 L+77.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed Legacy53c377.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3527657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed BetBoom Team50c367.21$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.614748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Legacy49c347.86$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4125855%142 W · 116 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked BetBoom Team50c346.02$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0123952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab71…2adabacked BetBoom Team30c326.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985952.5%31 W · 28 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Legacy73c325.88$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.895,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked BetBoom Team49c320.41$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15739847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Legacy49c307.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5950050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked BetBoom Team51c303.92$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15553034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked BetBoom Team15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed BetBoom Team51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed BetBoom Team48c295$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.678348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed BetBoom Team48c291.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked BetBoom Team40c275$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed BetBoom Team31c268.52$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.246716.4%11 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed BetBoom Team43c259.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.412538.4%48 W · 77 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Legacy40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15032136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed BetBoom Team48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12087351.2%447 W · 426 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Legacy49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.562938.3%241 W · 388 L-17.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb15…000cbacked BetBoom Team50c249.78$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd7…70ddbacked BetBoom Team7c244.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.451457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BetBoom Team26c242.14$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6987847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed Legacy52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.23234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.