Other European Leagues · resolved market
Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x353fba9ae836e448a8dd54786ae8fe6d91c1825d78b0d22c3a5789c199fe4589
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 6,032$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.52 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 55c | 3,623$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.81 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 42c | 2,257$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.85 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 2,226$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 49c | 1,943$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,092$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 42c | 801.43$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.43 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Under | 58c | 343.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 53c | 330.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 262.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 49c | 231.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 51c | 219.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 51c | 214.05$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -8.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 40c | 105.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 60c | 90.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 70c | 86.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 55c | 85.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 48c | 71.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 47c | 70.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 58c | 68.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 53c | 57.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2688backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 47c | 40.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 49c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe249…a684backed Over | 52c | 38.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 51c | 36.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…d9e7backed Under | 68c | 35.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 24.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 50c | 24.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 48c | 21.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Under | 61c | 17.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 72c | 16.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5this page
- Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.