South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaceb34c37ce59b59f0277aa4e148214f310d3d89de83eccf912650ca7def0bed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,299$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.5 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…40cfbacked Yes | 22c | 999.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 21c | 999.94$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 969.01$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.96 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 967.41$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.82 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 26c | 435.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 72c | 371.15$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 12c | 242.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 79c | 240.56$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 79c | 233.73$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 52c | 213.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…d26ebacked Yes | 26c | 190$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Yes | 6c | 180$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 158$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 154.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 51c | 120.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 40c | 111.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked No | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 57c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 86.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 29c | 69.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 20c | 59.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 71c | 50.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 78c | 45.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…8b89backed No | 75c | 38.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 79c | 37.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Yes | 43c | 31.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 67c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 73c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No | 59c | 20.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.