South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb13d8fc442e9ec72523dc1339c772956185733b1a3c2a38c8ad8ef3debb8a53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 3,651$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.74 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 66c | 2,844$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.04 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 2,828$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.39 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 2,097$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.1 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 31c | 1,458$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.12 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 1,441$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 79c | 946.23$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.42 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 868.47$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed No | 28c | 713.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 29c | 689$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 80c | 660.89$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 21c | 509$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.08 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 68c | 401.96$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.92 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 400$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.72 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 21c | 381.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 27c | 338.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Yes | 75c | 249.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680a…2ab4backed No | 55c | 238.63$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb98…be21backed No | 55c | 236.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…f86ebacked No | 55c | 235.49$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…ad99backed No | 55c | 234.13$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfd…72debacked No | 55c | 232.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…836fbacked No | 55c | 232.86$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6267…7b54backed No | 55c | 227.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5b…e06bbacked No | 55c | 226.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5d…cb42backed No | 55c | 224.66$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…0579backed No | 55c | 223.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…347dbacked No | 55c | 220.44$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…f09fbacked No | 55c | 220.34$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dc…9389backed No | 55c | 217.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x911c…f546backed No | 55c | 216.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 30c | 209$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e9…9107backed No | 55c | 207.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 70c | 200$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 22c | 189.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 187.97$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 18c | 177.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 18c | 161.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 27c | 160.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 22c | 132$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 129.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 55c | 115.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 79c | 98.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 97.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed No | 28c | 88.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 70c | 88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 23c | 86.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 28c | 83.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 66c | 79.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 28c | 71.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 63.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…dc63backed Yes | 30c | 61.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 68c | 58.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 71c | 53.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 23c | 52.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 79c | 48.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 30c | 46.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 26c | 41.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd32…c9aabacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 73c | 36.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 50c | 26.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 78c | 20.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 77c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 77c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 71c | 19.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 74c | 18.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 77c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will CF Monterrey vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.