Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd0c2d5f58650e031aba69b54529cf1e85f1f73622530b53b0d261063627c64d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 51c | 24,643$12,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,101.3 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 40c | 9,010$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.96 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 53c | 4,578$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.3 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 49c | 3,153$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.66 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed Yes | 63c | 2,963$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.93 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 22c | 2,248$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.05 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 63c | 2,000$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 51c | 1,753$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.13 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 13c | 1,730$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.37 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 14c | 1,608$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.84 | 139 | 19.4%27 W · 112 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 49c | 1,583$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.04 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 1,409$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.45 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 1,387$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.37 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 14c | 1,319$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.65 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 18c | 1,223$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.82 | 228 | 48.7%111 W · 117 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 1,149$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.27 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…73d1backed Yes | 14c | 1,114$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.52 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,083$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 73c | 1,025$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.58 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 41c | 963.47$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.82 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed Yes | 12c | 900$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.33 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 35c | 875.52$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.23 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 3c | 869.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 20c | 752.58$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.42 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 46c | 684.39$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.85 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 646.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.9 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 51c | 640.58$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.48 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked Yes | 19c | 633.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.1 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 23c | 586.54$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 42c | 585$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.29 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 23c | 499.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 13c | 497.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.45 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…2b63backed Yes | 56c | 475.45$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.59 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 17c | 475.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 463.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.74 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 46c | 421$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 10c | 413.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 57c | 399$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…4f3ebacked Yes | 60c | 371.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 52c | 353.19$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 315.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 314.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.89 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked No | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 292$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 66c | 288.42$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.89 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 63c | 272.83$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 45c | 214.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed Yes | 11c | 207.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.53 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Yes | 26c | 207$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 55c | 203.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Yes | 51c | 194.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4b…f574backed Yes | 57c | 187.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 60c | 179.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 39c | 173.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 51c | 173$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…927fbacked Yes | 45c | 172.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 54c | 167$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Yes | 47c | 159.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed Yes | 13c | 156.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 15c | 156.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 15c | 152.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4590…c7e4backed Yes | 13c | 148.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.76 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…8b89backed Yes | 20c | 147.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +263.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b09…d2cebacked Yes | 56c | 137.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 8c | 137.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…c594backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…29f0backed Yes | 53c | 122.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 71c | 117.93$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 24c | 111$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 12c | 108.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked Yes | 12c | 106.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 102.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…444dbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 99.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 14c | 85.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 54c | 75.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 39c | 54.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…a043backed Yes | 52c | 46.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…30b5backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed No | 63c | 39.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes | 52c | 36.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 59c | 35.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 80c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac8…f4eabacked Yes | 59c | 33.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…69ddbacked Yes | 58c | 30.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa937…4152backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…56c4backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Jon Hansen win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.