Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x935181c53e9ce0cc14f9dfc41dd0663abd92c7037061c6cc6c5c0ef6d1e86a78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 15c | 4,949$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.38 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 9c | 3,853$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.83 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 3,661$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.52 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 15c | 2,263$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,168$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.49 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 14c | 1,997$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 1,643$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 15c | 1,240$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 14c | 1,123$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.24 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 74c | 785.52$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 714.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 15c | 664.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 15c | 506.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Yes | 14c | 428.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 14c | 390.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 26c | 377.44$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 28c | 357$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 334.61$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 309.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 15c | 296.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 13c | 218$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yes | 15c | 210.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…0d02backed Yes | 10c | 192.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…55f1backed Yes | 11c | 172.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 15c | 158.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9bc…b282backed Yes | 15c | 155.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…8b89backed Yes | 16c | 153.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 18c | 142.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked Yes | 14c | 136.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f52…b510backed Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8b…172fbacked Yes | 17c | 114.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 10c | 104.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 14c | 96.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 14c | 91.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Yes | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 13c | 87.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…4375backed Yes | 15c | 86.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…14dabacked Yes | 15c | 77.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…e033backed No | 72c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Lille OSC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.