South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbea69df7c56aac3712e7d3285d930f45675d542b7dbbd07eef2733c35d3e58fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Tijuanaof CF Cruz Azul, Club Tijuana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed CF Cruz Azul | 36c | 52,487$18,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,678.16 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Tijuana | 66c | 21,565$14,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,390.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 12,552$8,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.72 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Tijuana | 64c | 3,500$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 1,880$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.16 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Club Tijuana | 64c | 1,591$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.76 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Club Tijuana | 67c | 1,463$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.21 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 1,240$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.38 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…7f76backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Club Tijuana | 66c | 757.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.57 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…f873backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 627.59$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Club Tijuana | 76c | 553$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Club Tijuana | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Club Tijuana | 65c | 414.52$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.52 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 412$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.64 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Club Tijuana | 64c | 410$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Club Tijuana | 64c | 346.41$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Club Tijuana | 65c | 338$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Club Tijuana | 66c | 330.02$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked CF Cruz Azul | 33c | 293.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 227.26$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Club Tijuana | 64c | 227.26$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Club Tijuana | 64c | 223.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 209.51$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Club Tijuana | 68c | 195$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Tijuana | 68c | 193$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Club Tijuana | 68c | 192$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club Tijuana | 68c | 192$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 183.71$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…8b89backed CF Cruz Azul | 33c | 176.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Club Tijuana | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Club Tijuana | 66c | 149.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Club Tijuana | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Club Tijuana | 66c | 99.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Club Tijuana | 66c | 90.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Club Tijuana | 66c | 75.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Club Tijuana | 67c | 73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…a698backed Club Tijuana | 67c | 71.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Club Tijuana | 65c | 61.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…246abacked Club Tijuana | 65c | 61.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Club Tijuana | 19c | 60.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed CF Cruz Azul | 28c | 51.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed CF Cruz Azul | 30c | 47.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Club Tijuana | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8c…1977backed Club Tijuana | 70c | 34.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Club Tijuana | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Club Tijuana | 64c | 19.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Club Tijuana | 64c | 19.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Club Tijuana | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3c…58afbacked Club Tijuana | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Club Tijuana | 72c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.