South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69113c5648e5783f97cffad3ad404f7522d3b4fe0a7238dd3bc3702c07b84966
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 10,456$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.35 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Under | 56c | 9,556$5,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,167.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 2,038$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.41 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 43c | 852.67$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.81 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 59c | 699.86$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.94 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 61c | 522.04$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.04 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 12c | 464.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 464.29$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 45c | 377.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 365.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 46c | 269.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under | 54c | 184.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 163.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 60c | 150$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Over | 46c | 120.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 55c | 101.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under | 55c | 92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 44c | 63.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 18c | 62.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…e71ebacked Under | 32c | 51.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 45c | 48.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 48c | 46.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 41c | 42.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 41c | 42.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 41c | 42.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…1bd0backed Over | 29c | 41.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 38c | 36.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 41c | 30.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 36c | 28.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 72c | 27.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 42c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…b409backed Over | 72c | 18.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Under | 55c | 18.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.