South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd927d9587cd9722606c20e016583d2a7368a50cd842581b332f0d10a107f8a1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 866.68$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.9 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 38c | 866.13$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.21 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cb…8f74backed Over | 62c | 470.87$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 382.33$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 67c | 249.47$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 221.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…347dbacked Under | 50c | 221.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4a…3b8cbacked Under | 50c | 217.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…5280backed Under | 50c | 217.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5b…e06bbacked Under | 50c | 216.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…10c6backed Under | 50c | 216.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…ff81backed Under | 50c | 215.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6c…1bc6backed Under | 50c | 215$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2611…521ebacked Under | 50c | 214.81$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…60dcbacked Under | 50c | 214.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333c…fe96backed Under | 50c | 213.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…0377backed Under | 50c | 212.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…d23dbacked Under | 50c | 210.77$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…57babacked Under | 50c | 209.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…71b9backed Under | 50c | 209.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…0fadbacked Under | 50c | 209.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…7007backed Under | 50c | 209.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfd…f70ebacked Under | 50c | 207.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…d110backed Under | 50c | 207.04$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…9e3cbacked Under | 50c | 206.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…821dbacked Under | 50c | 206.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…9113backed Under | 50c | 206.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…4ba4backed Under | 50c | 206.51$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8422…5907backed Under | 50c | 206.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f58…7becbacked Under | 50c | 206.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e9…9107backed Under | 50c | 206.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…fea6backed Under | 50c | 205.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…eb09backed Under | 50c | 203.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b4…3b3dbacked Under | 50c | 198.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…8792backed Under | 50c | 196.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…0b41backed Under | 50c | 193.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 56c | 178.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 60c | 177$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 34c | 77.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 57c | 55.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 39c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 69c | 19.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 66c | 18.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Club Tijuana won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-2.5)Club Tijuana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.